Friday’s contest at Reed Green Coliseum has the Troy Trojans (19-10, 12-5 Sun Belt) going head to head against the Southern Miss Golden Eagles (10-20, 5-12 Sun Belt) at 8:30 p.m. ET on February 28. Our computer prediction projects a 76-67 victory for Troy, who are favored by our model.

According to our computer prediction, Southern Miss should cover the point spread, which is currently listed at 8.5. The two teams are projected to go over the 142.5 over/under.

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Troy vs. Southern Miss Game Info & Odds

• Date: Friday, February 28, 2025
• Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Hattiesburg, Mississippi
• Venue: Reed Green Coliseum
• Line: Troy -8.5
• Point total: 142.5
• Moneyline (to win): Troy -400, Southern Miss +310

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Troy vs. Southern Miss Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Troy 76, Southern Miss 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Southern Miss

• Pick ATS: Southern Miss (+8.5)
• Pick OU: Over (142.5)

Troy has a 16-11-0 record against the spread this season compared to Southern Miss, who is 15-13-0 ATS. The Trojans have an 11-16-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Golden Eagles have a record of 12-16-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams score 145.2 points per game, 2.7 more points than this matchup’s total. In the last 10 contests, Troy has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall. Southern Miss has gone 5-5 against the spread and 1-9 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans have a +219 scoring differential, topping opponents by 7.5 points per game. They’re putting up 73.1 points per game to rank 210th in college basketball and are allowing 65.6 per outing to rank 26th in college basketball.
• Troy is 47th in the nation at 34.9 rebounds per game. That’s 6.2 more than the 28.7 its opponents average.
• Troy connects on 7.8 three-pointers per game (163rd in college basketball) at a 30% rate (346th in college basketball), compared to the 6.8 its opponents make while shooting 32.9% from deep.
• The Trojans rank 224th in college basketball with 94.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 15th in college basketball defensively with 84.3 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Troy has committed 13.3 turnovers per game (335th in college basketball play) while forcing 13.2 (48th in college basketball).

Southern Miss Performance Insights

• The Golden Eagles put up 72.1 points per game (242nd in college basketball) while giving up 76.5 per contest (306th in college basketball). They have a -132 scoring differential and have been outscored by 4.4 points per game.
• Southern Miss averages 32.8 rebounds per game (139th in college basketball), compared to the 33.5 of its opponents.
• Southern Miss makes 6.6 three-pointers per game (300th in college basketball), 1.1 fewer than its opponents. It is shooting 30.7% from beyond the arc (331st in college basketball) and its opponents are shooting 32.7%.
• Southern Miss has lost the turnover battle by 2.5 per game, committing 13.5 (337th in college basketball) while forcing 11 (221st in college basketball).

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