Thunder vs. Hawks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 28

Published 8:19 pm Thursday, February 27, 2025

The Oklahoma City Thunder (47-11) visit the Atlanta Hawks (27-32) after winning three home road in a row. The Thunder are heavy favorites by 12.5 points in the matchup, which starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, February 28, 2025.

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Thunder vs. Hawks Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Friday, February 28, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSE and FDSOK
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Venue: State Farm Arena

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Thunder vs. Hawks Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Thunder 121 – Hawks 109

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Spread & Total Prediction for Thunder vs. Hawks

  • Pick ATS: Hawks (+ 12.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Thunder (-12.0)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (242.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 229.8
  • The Thunder have put together a 35-23-0 ATS record this season compared to the 28-31-0 mark from the Hawks.
  • Atlanta covers the spread when it is a 12.5-point underdog or more 100% of the time. That’s more often than Oklahoma City covers as a favorite of 12.5 or more (60%).
  • Oklahoma City’s games have gone over the total 58.6% of the time this season (34 out of 58), which is more often than Atlanta’s games have (34 out of 59).
  • As a moneyline underdog this year, the Hawks are 17-22, while the Thunder are 45-10 as moneyline favorites.

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Thunder Performance Insights

  • Things are clicking for the Thunder, who are scoring 118.6 points per game (fourth-best in NBA) and giving up 106 points per contest (second-best).
  • So far this year, Oklahoma City is averaging 44.7 boards per game (13th-ranked in NBA) and ceding 45.6 rebounds per contest (25th-ranked).
  • The Thunder rank 14th in the NBA with 26.5 assists per game.
  • Oklahoma City has been thriving in terms of turnovers this year, ranking best in the NBA in turnovers per game (11.2) and best in forced turnovers per contest (17.2).
  • So far this year, the Thunder are draining 14 threes per game (eighth-ranked in NBA) and are shooting 36.1% (13th-ranked) from beyond the arc.

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Hawks Performance Insights

  • In 2024-25, the Hawks are eighth in the league offensively (116.6 points scored per game) and fourth-worst on defense (119.2 points allowed).
  • With 44.9 rebounds per game and 44.5 rebounds conceded, Atlanta is 11th and 17th in the NBA, respectively.
  • At 29.3 assists per game, the Hawks are second-best in the NBA.
  • Atlanta is 25th in the league in turnovers per game (15) and second-best in turnovers forced (15.8).
  • In 2024-25, the Hawks are 16th in the league in 3-point makes (13.1 per game) and 19th in 3-point percentage (34.9%).

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