Tuesday’s game that pits the Troy Trojans (18-10, 11-5 Sun Belt) against the Texas State Bobcats (15-14, 8-8 Sun Belt) at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center should be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 73-70 in favor of Troy. Game time is at 8:00 PM ET on February 25.

Based on our computer prediction, Texas State is projected to cover the spread (2.5) against Troy. The two teams are expected to eclipse the 141.5 over/under.

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Troy vs. Texas State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Tuesday, February 25, 2025
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: San Marcos, Texas
• Venue: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center
• Line: Troy -2.5
• Point total: 141.5
• Moneyline (to win): Troy -130, Texas State +108

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Troy vs. Texas State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Troy 73, Texas State 70

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Texas State

• Pick ATS: Texas State (+2.5)
• Pick OU: Over (141.5)

Troy is 15-11-0 against the spread this season compared to Texas State’s 13-14-0 ATS record. The Trojans have gone over the point total in 10 games, while Bobcats games have gone over 16 times. The teams score an average of 149.2 points per game, 7.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Troy is 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall in its past 10 games, while Texas State has gone 4-6 against the spread and 4-6 overall.

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Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans have a +214 scoring differential, topping opponents by 7.7 points per game. They’re putting up 73.1 points per game to rank 211th in college basketball and are giving up 65.4 per outing to rank 25th in college basketball.
• Troy is 50th in the nation at 34.8 rebounds per game. That’s 6.1 more than the 28.7 its opponents average.
• Troy knocks down 7.9 three-pointers per game (158th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7. It shoots 30.4% from deep while its opponents hit 33.1% from long range.
• The Trojans’ 94.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 228th in college basketball, and the 84.2 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 15th in college basketball.
• Troy and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Trojans commit 13.4 per game (336th in college basketball) and force 13.2 (50th in college basketball action).

Texas State Performance Insights

• The Bobcats put up 76.1 points per game (120th in college basketball) while giving up 72.9 per contest (212th in college basketball). They have a +92 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 3.2 points per game.
• The 33.5 rebounds per game Texas State accumulates rank 88th in the nation, 4.4 more than the 29.1 its opponents grab.
• Texas State knocks down 6.1 three-pointers per game (332nd in college basketball), 1.4 fewer than its opponents.
• Texas State and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Bobcats commit 11.4 per game (199th in college basketball) and force 11.2 (201st in college basketball).

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