Hawks vs. Heat Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 24

Published 6:17 am Monday, February 24, 2025

The Atlanta Hawks (26-31) are favored (-1.5) to stop a three-game losing streak when they host the Miami Heat (26-29) at 7:30 PM ET on Monday, February 24, 2025 at State Farm Arena. The game airs on FDSSE and FDSSUN.

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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Monday, February 24, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSE and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Venue: State Farm Arena

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Hawks vs. Heat Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Hawks 115 – Heat 113

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Spread & Total Prediction for Hawks vs. Heat

  • Pick ATS: Hawks (- 1.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Hawks (-2.0)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (230.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 228.8
  • The Hawks’ .474 ATS win percentage (27-30-0 ATS Record) is higher than the Heat’s .455 mark (25-30-0 ATS Record) in 2024-25.
  • When the spread is set as 1.5 or more this season, Atlanta (5-15) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (25%) than Miami (10-15) does as the underdog (40%).
  • Miami and its opponents have exceeded the total 54.5% of the time this season (30 out of 55). That’s less often than Atlanta and its opponents have (33 out of 57).
  • The Hawks have a .474 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (9-10) this season, higher than the .333 winning percentage for the Heat as a moneyline underdog (8-16).

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Hawks Performance Insights

  • The Hawks’ offense, which ranks seventh in the league with 117 points per game, has played better than their third-worst defense (119.6 points allowed per game).
  • Atlanta ranks 11th in the NBA with 45 rebounds per game so far this season. Meanwhile, it ranks 20th with 44.7 rebounds allowed per contest.
  • The Hawks have been one of the best teams in the league in terms of assists, as they are delivering 29.3 per game (second-best in NBA).
  • Atlanta has struggled in terms of turnovers this year, ranking fifth-worst in the NBA with 15 turnovers per game. Conversely, it ranks second-best in the league with 15.8 forced turnovers per contest.
  • The Hawks rank 15th in the NBA with 13.1 treys per game this year. Meanwhile, they rank 20th with a 35% shooting percentage from three-point land.

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Heat Performance Insights

  • The Heat put up 110.1 points per game and allow 110.9, ranking them 24th in the NBA on offense and eighth on defense.
  • On the boards, Miami is 17th in the league in rebounds (44.1 per game). It is 24th in rebounds conceded (45.6 per game).
  • This season the Heat are ranked 16th in the NBA in assists at 26.1 per game.
  • In terms of turnovers, Miami is fifth-best in the NBA in committing them (12.6 per game). It is 24th in forcing them (12.5 per game).
  • At 13.9 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 35.9% from downtown, the Heat are eighth and 15th in the league, respectively, in those categories.

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