Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 17

Published 5:38 pm Sunday, February 16, 2025

Monday’s contest between the Alabama State Hornets (11-14, 7-5 SWAC) and the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (3-22, 1-11 SWAC) at Harrison HPER Complex is expected to be a lopsided matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 78-65 and heavily favors Alabama State to come out on top. Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET on February 17.

Based on our computer prediction, Mississippi Valley State is projected to cover the point spread (18.5) versus Alabama State. The two sides are expected to exceed the 138.5 total.

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Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Monday, February 17, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV: SWAC Digital Network
  • Where: Itta Bena, Mississippi
  • Venue: Harrison HPER Complex
  • Line: Alabama State -18.5
  • Point total: 138.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Alabama State -3448, Mississippi Valley State +1280

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Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Alabama State 78, Mississippi Valley State 65

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State

  • Pick ATS: Mississippi Valley State (+18.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (138.5)

Alabama State has compiled an 8-15-0 record against the spread this season, while Mississippi Valley State is 9-14-0. Both the Hornets and the Delta Devils are 11-12-0 in terms of going over the point total in their games this season. The teams average 128.3 points per game combined, 10.2 fewer than this matchup’s total. Over the last 10 contests, Alabama State has a 2-8 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall. Mississippi Valley State has gone 5-5 against the spread and 1-9 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Alabama State Performance Insights

  • The Hornets average 74.5 points per game (175th in college basketball) while giving up 76.4 per contest (305th in college basketball). They have a -47 scoring differential overall and have been outscored by 1.9 points per game.
  • The 31.7 rebounds per game Alabama State averages rank 203rd in the country, and are 5.1 fewer than the 36.8 its opponents grab per outing.
  • Alabama State makes 9.1 three-pointers per game (59th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 8.2 on average.
  • The Hornets put up 93.2 points per 100 possessions (254th in college basketball), while allowing 95.5 points per 100 possessions (258th in college basketball).
  • Alabama State has committed 8.8 turnovers per game (10th in college basketball action), three fewer than the 11.8 it forces on average (147th in college basketball).

Mississippi Valley State Performance Insights

  • The Delta Devils’ -719 scoring differential (being outscored by 28.7 points per game) is a result of putting up 53.8 points per game (364th in college basketball) while giving up 82.5 per contest (357th in college basketball).
  • Mississippi Valley State is 363rd in college basketball at 24.4 rebounds per game. That’s 9.1 fewer than the 33.5 its opponents average.
  • Mississippi Valley State connects on five fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 4 (364th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 9.
  • Mississippi Valley State has lost the turnover battle by 5.2 per game, committing 15.4 (362nd in college basketball) while forcing 10.2 (294th in college basketball).

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