Saturday’s contest that pits the Arkansas State Red Wolves (19-7, 10-3 Sun Belt) against the Troy Trojans (16-9, 9-4 Sun Belt) at First National Bank Arena has a projected final score of 74-69 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Arkansas State, who is a small favorite in this matchup according to our model. Game time is at 8:00 PM ET on February 15.

Based on our computer prediction, Troy is projected to cover the spread (5.5) versus Arkansas State. The two sides are projected to come in below the 144.5 total.

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Arkansas State vs. Troy Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, February 15, 2025
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN2
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Jonesboro, Arkansas
• Venue: First National Bank Arena
• Line: Arkansas State -5.5
• Point total: 144.5
• Moneyline (to win): Arkansas State -230, Troy +188

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Arkansas State vs. Troy Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Arkansas State 74, Troy 69

Spread & Total Prediction for Arkansas State vs. Troy

• Pick ATS: Troy (+5.5)
• Pick OU: Under (144.5)

Arkansas State has a 15-10-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Troy, who is 13-10-0 ATS. A total of 11 out of the Red Wolves’ games this season have gone over the point total, and eight of the Trojans’ games have gone over. The two teams combine to score 152.2 points per game, 7.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Arkansas State is 9-1 against the spread and 8-2 overall over its last 10 contests, while Troy has gone 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 overall.

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Arkansas State Performance Insights

• The Red Wolves outscore opponents by 9.5 points per game (scoring 79.3 points per game to rank 61st in college basketball while giving up 69.8 per outing to rank 117th in college basketball) and have a +248 scoring differential overall.
• The 37.3 rebounds per game Arkansas State averages rank eighth in college basketball, and are 2.5 more than the 34.8 its opponents collect per outing.
• Arkansas State makes 9.2 three-pointers per game (54th in college basketball), 2.9 more than its opponents (6.3).
• The Red Wolves average 96.9 points per 100 possessions (148th in college basketball), while giving up 85.3 points per 100 possessions (26th in college basketball).
• Arkansas State has won the turnover battle by 2.5 turnovers per game, committing 9.8 (43rd in college basketball play) while forcing 12.3 (116th in college basketball).

Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans have a +199 scoring differential, topping opponents by 7.9 points per game. They’re putting up 72.9 points per game, 218th in college basketball, and are allowing 65 per contest to rank 27th in college basketball.
• The 34.7 rebounds per game Troy accumulates rank 57th in the nation, 6.6 more than the 28.1 its opponents record.
• Troy knocks down 7.7 three-pointers per game (176th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.9. It shoots 30% from deep, and its opponents shoot 32.8%.
• Troy forces 13.5 turnovers per game (45th in college basketball) while committing 13.6 (337th in college basketball).

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