Alabama State vs. UAPB Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 15

Published 9:38 pm Friday, February 14, 2025

Saturday’s contest at H.O. Clemmons Arena has the Alabama State Hornets (10-14, 6-5 SWAC) going head to head against the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (4-20, 1-10 SWAC) at 6:30 PM ET on February 15. Our computer prediction projects a 81-74 win for Alabama State, who are favored by our model.

Based on our computer prediction, UAPB projects to cover the 8.5-point spread in its matchup versus Alabama State. The over/under has been set at 158.5, and the two sides are projected to come in below that total.

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Alabama State vs. UAPB Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, February 15, 2025
  • Time: 6:30 PM ET
  • TV: SWAC Digital Network
  • Where: Pine Bluff, Arkansas
  • Venue: H.O. Clemmons Arena
  • Line: Alabama State -8.5
  • Point total: 158.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Alabama State -500, UAPB +360

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Alabama State vs. UAPB Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Alabama State 81, UAPB 74

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama State vs. UAPB

  • Pick ATS: UAPB (+8.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (158.5)

Alabama State has put together a 7-15-0 record against the spread this season, while UAPB is 9-13-0. The Hornets have gone over the point total in 11 games, while Golden Lions games have gone over 14 times. The teams put up 148.3 points per game combined, 10.2 fewer than this matchup’s total. Alabama State is 1-9 against the spread and 5-5 overall over its last 10 contests, while UAPB has gone 4-6 against the spread and 1-9 overall.

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Alabama State Performance Insights

  • The Hornets have been outscored by 2.5 points per game (scoring 74.5 points per game to rank 171st in college basketball while allowing 77 per outing to rank 311th in college basketball) and have a -59 scoring differential overall.
  • Alabama State loses the rebound battle by 5.8 boards on average. It collects 31.1 rebounds per game, which ranks 247th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 36.9 per outing.
  • Alabama State knocks down 9.1 three-pointers per game (60th in college basketball) at a 33% rate (238th in college basketball), compared to the 8 per game its opponents make at a 34.1% rate.
  • The Hornets rank 248th in college basketball with 93.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and 284th in college basketball defensively with 96.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.
  • Alabama State has won the turnover battle by 2.8 turnovers per game, committing 8.8 (ninth in college basketball play) while forcing 11.6 (169th in college basketball).

UAPB Performance Insights

  • The Golden Lions are being outscored by 14 points per game, with a -336 scoring differential overall. They put up 73.8 points per game (197th in college basketball), and allow 87.8 per contest (364th in college basketball).
  • UAPB loses the rebound battle by 5.3 boards on average. It collects 30.4 rebounds per game, 284th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 35.7.
  • UAPB knocks down 7.5 three-pointers per game (200th in college basketball), 2.4 fewer than its opponents. It is shooting 32% from deep (288th in college basketball) and its opponents are shooting 35.7%.
  • UAPB loses the turnover battle by 2.5 per game, committing 14.3 (352nd in college basketball) while its opponents average 11.8.

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