Monday’s contest at Dunn-Oliver Acadome has the Southern Jaguars (15-8, 10-0 SWAC) going head-to-head against the Alabama State Hornets (9-14, 5-5 SWAC) at 7:00 PM (on February 10). Our computer prediction projects a 75-71 victory for Southern, who is a small favorite based on our model.

Based on our computer prediction, Alabama State should cover the point spread, which is listed at 3.5. The two sides are projected to go over the 141.5 total.

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Southern vs. Alabama State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Monday, February 10, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Montgomery, Alabama
• Venue: Dunn-Oliver Acadome
• Line: Southern -3.5
• Point total: 141.5
• Moneyline (to win): Southern -160, Alabama State +132

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Southern vs. Alabama State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Southern 75, Alabama State 71

Spread & Total Prediction for Southern vs. Alabama State

• Pick ATS: Alabama State (+3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (141.5)

Southern has a 10-9-0 record against the spread this season compared to Alabama State, who is 6-15-0 ATS. The Jaguars are 8-11-0 and the Hornets are 10-11-0 in terms of hitting the over. The teams combine to score 150.8 points per game, 9.3 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 games, Southern is 5-5 against the spread and 10-0 overall while Alabama State has gone 1-9 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Southern Performance Insights

• The Jaguars are outscoring opponents by 7.3 points per game with a +169 scoring differential overall. They put up 76.6 points per game (113th in college basketball) and give up 69.3 per contest (102nd in college basketball).
• Southern prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 4.5 boards. It is grabbing 34.5 rebounds per game (65th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 30 per outing.
• Southern connects on 7 three-pointers per game (254th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.7. It shoots 32.7% from deep while its opponents hit 34.7% from long range.
• The Jaguars’ 95 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 201st in college basketball, and the 85.9 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 41st in college basketball.
• Southern has committed 12.2 turnovers per game (264th in college basketball play), 2.9 fewer than the 15.1 it forces on average (11th in college basketball).

Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets put up 74.2 points per game (189th in college basketball) while allowing 76.8 per contest (312th in college basketball). They have a -60 scoring differential and have been outscored by 2.6 points per game.
• Alabama State ranks 254th in the country at 31 rebounds per game. That’s 5.5 fewer than the 36.5 its opponents average.
• Alabama State knocks down 9 three-pointers per game (66th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 8.2 on average.
• Alabama State has committed three fewer turnovers than its opponents, averaging 8.8 (seventh in college basketball) while forcing 11.8 (155th in college basketball).

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