South Alabama vs. Troy Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 18

Published 9:38 pm Friday, January 17, 2025

Saturday’s game between the South Alabama Jaguars (13-5, 5-1 Sun Belt) and the Troy Trojans (11-6, 4-2 Sun Belt) at Mitchell Center has a projected final score of 70-67 based on our computer prediction, with South Alabama taking home the win. Tipoff is at 4:00 PM ET on January 18.

According to our computer prediction, Troy is projected to cover the point spread (3.5) against South Alabama. The two teams are expected to go over the 130.5 over/under.

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South Alabama vs. Troy Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Mobile, Alabama
  • Venue: Mitchell Center
  • Line: South Alabama -3.5
  • Point total: 130.5
  • Moneyline (to win): South Alabama -170, Troy +140

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South Alabama vs. Troy Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    South Alabama 70, Troy 67

Spread & Total Prediction for South Alabama vs. Troy

  • Pick ATS: Troy (+3.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (130.5)

South Alabama has put together an 11-5-0 record against the spread this season, while Troy is 9-6-0. A total of six out of the Jaguars’ games this season have hit the over, and seven of the Trojans’ games have gone over. The teams combine to score 148.6 points per game, 18.1 more points than this matchup’s total. South Alabama is 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall over its past 10 games, while Troy has gone 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall.

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South Alabama Performance Insights

  • The Jaguars average 74.5 points per game (201st in college basketball) while allowing 61.6 per contest (eighth in college basketball). They have a +233 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 12.9 points per game.
  • South Alabama averages 30.9 rebounds per game (276th in college basketball) compared to the 31.9 of its opponents.
  • South Alabama connects on 9.8 three-pointers per game (39th in college basketball) at a 34.3% rate (153rd in college basketball), compared to the 11.1 per contest its opponents make while shooting 32.9% from beyond the arc.
  • The Jaguars average 101.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (67th in college basketball), and give up 84 points per 100 possessions (27th in college basketball).
  • South Alabama has typically won the turnover battle this season, committing 8.1 per game (first in college basketball action) while forcing 13.2 (74th in college basketball).

Troy Performance Insights

  • The Trojans are outscoring opponents by 7.6 points per game, with a +129 scoring differential overall. They put up 74.1 points per game (209th in college basketball) and allow 66.5 per outing (57th in college basketball).
  • Troy comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 6.4 boards. It records 34.5 rebounds per game (90th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 28.1.
  • Troy knocks down 7.2 three-pointers per game (233rd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.8. It shoots 29.8% from deep, and its opponents shoot 33%.
  • Troy has come up short in the turnover battle by 1.1 per game, committing 14.4 (345th in college basketball) while forcing 13.3 (69th in college basketball).

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