000

WTNT34 KNHC 240235

TCPAT4

BULLETIN

TROPICAL STORM DOLLY ADVISORY NUMBER 15

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008

1000 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

…DOLLY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM BUT HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE…

AT 10 PM CDT…0300 UTC…ALL HURRICANE WARNINGS ALONG THE COASTS OF

TEXAS AND MEXICO HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

AT 10 PM CDT…A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM

BROWNSVILLE TO PORT ARANSAS TEXAS. COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS

ELSEWHERE ARE DISCONTINUED.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1000 PM CDT…0300Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS

LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH…LONGITUDE 98.1 WEST OR ABOUT 55

MILES… 90 KM…NORTHWEST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH…11 KM/HR. A TURN BACK

TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TOMORROW WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE

IN FORWARD SPEED UNTIL THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH…110 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER

GUSTS. DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT MOVES FURTHER

INLAND…AND DOLLY COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY LATE

TOMORROW.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES…185 KM

FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB…28.97 INCHES.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12

INCHES…WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES…OVER PORTIONS OF

SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS…CAUSING

WIDESPREAD FLOODING IN THESE AREAS.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL SUBSIDE TONIGHT.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS TODAY

AND TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION…26.5 N…98.1 W. MOVEMENT

TOWARD…WEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…70 MPH.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…981 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE

CENTER AT 100 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400

AM CDT.

$$

FORECASTER FRANKLIN